NFL Week 11: Rock's Locks Season Long Picks & Predictions
Will Rock Predicts The Winners Each Week During The 2025 NFL Regular Season - Currently 97-53 Tied 3rd Place | Updated 11.14.25
ROCK’S LOCKS OVERALL W/L | 97-53
Each week, Will Rock locks in straight-up winners and losers across the NFL slate with a 16-leg parlay (adjusted for bye weeks or shortened schedules). A small wager is placed on DraftKings to timestamp and preserve each pick, with the moneyline at the time of selection determining whether it qualifies as a favorite or upset.
If any weekly parlay hits, all end-of-season proceeds will be donated to the Rocked On Cancer Foundation.
My Competition: NFL Expert Picks | Bleacher Report
*This sheet will be updated every week on Fridays
Week 11 | Powered By Draftkings
ROCK’S LOCKS | WIN/LOSS: 2-0 | OVERALL: 97-53
The Detroit Lions enter Week 11 with momentum and high stakes, heading to Philadelphia for a Sunday Night Football showdown against the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles. At 6-3, Detroit sits atop the NFC North, tied with the surging Chicago Bears but holding the tiebreaker, while the Eagles (7-2) lead the NFC East and currently own the conference’s top seed. This matchup is more than a midseason measuring stick—it’s a potential playoff preview with direct implications for seeding, tiebreakers, and the Lions’ pursuit of home-field advantage.
Detroit’s Injury Armageddon
Lions Injury Front: Detroit’s Week 11 injury report is, in a word, daunting. Seventeen (17) players appeared on the list, and by Friday, the Lions had ruled out four starters and listed ten more as questionable. The attrition is most acute in the secondary and along the offensive line, with key contributors on both sides of the ball either sidelined or limited.
Ruled Out
Sam LaPorta (TE, back): Placed on IR Saturday, out at least four games. LaPorta is second on the team in receptions and a critical red-zone target.
Kerby Joseph (S, knee): Misses his fourth straight game. Joseph leads the team in interceptions and is a key communicator on the back end.
Terrion Arnold (CB, concussion): Sidelined after exiting Week 10. Arnold had emerged as Detroit’s top outside corner.
Josh Paschal (EDGE, back): 21-day practice window is open, remains out.
Marcus Davenport (EDGE, shoulder): 21-day practice window opened; not expected to play but could return aws soon as week 12.
D.J. Reed (CB, hamstring): 21-day window opened, but Dan Campbell indicated he’s not ready. Targeting Thanksgiving for return.
Questionable
Penei Sewell (RT, ankle): Missed Friday’s practice after being rolled up on in Week 10. Expected to play, but not a lock.
Taylor Decker (LT, shoulder): Limited all week, but “rest” designation signals likely availability. Expected to play.
Amik Robertson (CB, hamstring): Suffered a midweek strain; confidence is high, but status will be determined in warmups.
Brock Wright (TE, ankle): Limited, but expected to start in LaPorta’s absence.
Sione Vaki (RB, ankle), Jacob Saylors (RB, back), Miles Frazier (G, knee), Malcolm Rodriguez (LB, knee): All limited or full participants; Rodriguez could make his season debut after ACL recovery.
Injury Analysis
On the offensive line, Taylor Decker (shoulder) and Penei Sewell (ankle) were limited in practice but are expected to play. Sam LaPorta (back) was a DNP Wednesday and he is done for four weeks. Aidan Hutchinson (elbow) was also a DNP Wednesday but is expected to suit up. Isaac Teslaa (Core) was added to the Lions’ injury report with an oblique issue and is officially questionable for Sunday Night Football vs. the Eagles.
Practice windows remain open for DJ Reed (DT), Marcus Davenport (DE), Josh Paschal (DE), and Miles Frazier (OL), but none are expected to be activated for Week 11. Myles Hassanein (DE)will take a bit to get football ready. The Lions waived Pat O’Connor (DT) with an injury settlement on Saturday, November 16, 2025. That means he’s no longer on the roster and is free to sign elsewhere once healthy
Opponent Injury News: Philadelphia Eagles
If the Lions are limping into Week 11, the Eagles are sprinting. Philadelphia’s injury report is remarkably clean for mid-November. All 22 starters are expected to play, with only backup or depth players on IR. Notably, right tackle Lane Johnson (ankle), center Cam Jurgens (knee), and left guard Landon Dickerson (quad) were all full participants by Friday and will start. The only significant absences are long snapper Charley Hughlett and backup edge Ogbo Okoronkwo, both on IR.
Key Eagles on IR:
Johnny Wilson (WR, knee/ankle): Out for the season.
Ogbo Okoronkwo (EDGE, triceps): Out indefinitely.
Ben VanSumeren (FB, knee): Out for the season.
Charley Hughlett (LS): Out, replaced by Cal Adomitis.
Analysis:
The Eagles’ offensive line, a perennial strength, is healthy and intact. The defense, led by Vic Fangio, is at full strength, with all key contributors available. This health advantage is significant, especially given Detroit’s attrition.
The Good News
Despite a rash of injuries, the Lions are playing their best football of the season, and the turnaround has been fueled by Dan Campbell’s decision to take over play‑calling. The offense has become aggressive, balanced, and unpredictable, erupting for 546 yards and 44 points in Week 10 while scoring on every meaningful possession. Jared Goff is operating at an MVP‑level, distributing the ball with precision and leading an attack that rarely stalls. His chemistry with Amon‑Ra St. Brown remains the heartbeat of the passing game, while Jameson Williams is emerging as a dynamic second option who stretches defenses vertically.
On the ground, Jahmyr Gibbs has added explosive balance, ripping off chunk plays and finishing drives with red‑zone efficiency that forces opponents to account for him every snap. Even with injuries up front, the offensive line paved the way for 226 rushing yards last week and kept Goff clean, a testament to the toughness of Decker and Sewell.
Defensively, Aidan Hutchinson continues to set the tone with relentless pressure, Jack Campbell has blossomed into a tackling machine, and Brian Branch is flashing versatility in coverage and blitz packages.
Special teams remain a hidden strength, with Jake Bates providing long‑range reliability and Jack Fox flipping field position consistently. In short, Detroit is not just surviving adversity — they are thriving, playing with confidence and rhythm that makes them look like one of the NFC’s most dangerous teams heading into Week 11.
In The Standings: Updated Summary (Week 11, 2025):
The Lions sit at 6–3, tied with the Bears atop the NFC North and holding the division tiebreaker edge over Green Bay. Detroit has outscored opponents by +83 points, ranking among the NFC’s best in point differential. The offense remains explosive, averaging 31.4 points per game (2nd in NFL) and ranking 2nd in total yards (283 points, 396.7 YPG). Defensively, they’re middle of the pack in yardage but top‑10 in red‑zone efficiency and takeaways, keeping them competitive even when shorthanded. Special teams continue to be a stabilizing force, with Jake Bates perfect on field goals and Jack Fox flipping field position at an elite level.
Breakdown of Key Updates
Record & Division: Lions 6–3, tied with Chicago for first in the NFC North; Green Bay (5–3–1) sits just behind.
Point Differential: +83 (283 points scored, 200 allowed).
Scoring Offense: 31.4 PPG, 2nd in NFL.
Yards Per Game: Offense 372.4 YP/G (6th) | Rushing 136.3 YP/G
Defense: Middle tier in total yards allowed, but top‑10 in red‑zone efficiency and takeaways, and a top 8 overall defense is a huge upgrade over last season.
Special Teams: Jake Bates has not been utilized a ton this season, kicking at a 75% success rate Dave Fipp has all the trust in Bates today if called upon late in the game. While Jack Fox ranks among the league leaders in net punting average, this is an area of strength for the lions.
Week 10 Call
NFC North Week 11 Spotlight
Weekly Call – NFC North Outlook: Detroit and Chicago continue to set the pace in the division, both with offenses capable of overwhelming opponents and defenses that force mistakes. Green Bay remains in the hunt but must prove consistency against weaker opponents, while Minnesota’s reliance on a rookie quarterback leaves them vulnerable in high‑leverage games. Week 11 is a defining slate: the Lions face a heavyweight test in Philadelphia, the Bears and Vikings battle for divisional positioning, and the Packers look to keep pace against a struggling Giants squad.
LIONS at EAGLES (SNF): Detroit (6–3) heads into Philadelphia tied atop the NFC North, riding the momentum of their offensive explosion in Week 10. The Eagles (6–3) boast one of the league’s most balanced rosters, but their defense has shown cracks, allowing 149.8 receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts and struggling to contain explosive backs. Detroit’s offense, led by Jared Goff’s precision passing and Jahmyr Gibbs’ versatility, has been firing on all cylinders since Dan Campbell took over play‑calling. Amon‑Ra St. Brown remains the go‑to weapon in the red zone, while Jameson Williams has emerged as a dangerous complement with improved efficiency.
Defensively, Aidan Hutchinson, Alim McNeill and Jack Campbell anchor a unit that thrives on pressure and tackling discipline. If the Lions establish contain and tempo early and force Jalen Hurts into extended dropbacks. The pocket can collapse naturally keeping Barkley & Hurts in check and that is a recipe for the Lions to win. Should the defense get too aggressive, chase sacks opening rush lanes and allow escape hatches, the Lions lose by a wide margin. Turnovers and ball control are critical elements in this game for both teams.
Advantage: Detroit’s offensive rhythm and Hutchinson’s pass rush.
BEARS at VIKINGS: Chicago (6–3) travels to Minnesota for a pivotal divisional clash. Caleb Williams continues to deliver late‑game heroics, guiding the Bears to six wins in their last eight, while the ground game featuring D’Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai has become the identity of the offense. Minnesota (4–5) leans on rookie J.J. McCarthy, but his struggles against pressure remain glaring, and the Vikings’ offensive line has been inconsistent. Justin Jefferson provides a spark, yet Chicago’s secondary leads the NFL in interceptions and turnover margin, a dangerous matchup for a rookie quarterback. If the Bears avoid slow starts and lean into their rushing attack, they should control the pace and force McCarthy into mistakes.
Edge: Bears’ run game and defensive opportunism.
PACKERS at GIANTS: Green Bay (5–3–1) heads to New York looking to rebound after a flat offensive showing. Jordan Love has been sharp in stretches, but the Packers’ attack has lacked consistency. The Giants (2–8) are in disarray, firing their head coach and turning to interim leadership while struggling to generate offense. Their defense ranks near the bottom of the league in yards allowed and has been gashed on the ground. This sets up well for Josh Jacobs, who already has 11 rushing touchdowns and faces a unit ranked 31st against the run. If Green Bay’s offensive line holds up, Love should find success against a vulnerable secondary, while Jacobs pounds away to control the game. Expect the Packers to reassert themselves with a balanced attack.
Edge: Packers’ rushing attack and overall roster stability.
Week 11 Summary | 2-0 |
WINS: Patriots, Miami
LOSSES:
Will Rock Week 11 | 2-0 | Overall 97-53 | Tied 3rd Place
NO PROPS THIS WEEK
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